Opinion: Eliminate Alaska’s oil tax credits

Opinion: Eliminate Alaska’s oil tax credits

The state is receiving nothing in return.

The lose-lose conundrum advanced by Gov. Mike Dunleavy’s administration of maintaining either the Permanent Fund Dividend or education has a solution — eliminate oil tax credits. Sadly, Alaska is obligated to pay an $8 credit per barrel when the wellhead price is less than $80 per barrel.

Oil credits obligate Alaska to pay the oil industry — without a reciprocal return on Alaska’s investment expenditure — billions of dollars. Alaska has not received its Senate Bill 21 promise. There has been no flood of oilfield workers to Alaska’s North Slope and Alaska’s treasury is not replenished by increased oil production.

[Opinion: Stop oil and gas tax credits]

The dollar amount of oil credits given away by Alaska is staggering. The 2019 “Per-Taxable-Barrel Credit” is $1.245 billion. The forecasted credit each year through 2028 is never less than $1 billion each year. You can look this up yourself by looking at Alaska’s Revenue Source Book Fall 2018 on page 106 in Chapter 8. Alaskans have more to discuss than the lose-lose of either PFDs or education.

Remember the SB 21 promise in 2014 of 1 million barrels per day oil production; this promise to Alaskans was not kept. For those who quibble about that promise, recall the comparable promise 20 years ago: “no decline after ‘99.” The natural decline of the mature Prudhoe Bay and Kuparuk fields and their satellite fields continues. Please look at page 138 of Alaska’s Revenue Source Book Fall 2018 to see the unfortunate but continuing throughput declines; there is no 1 million barrels per day in Alaska’s forecasted future.

[Opinion: Time to place to power lines underground in Juneau, US]

The promise to Alaskans was an election sham. The consequences of false election promises can take years to be understood, and Alaska now knows the consequences of its oil tax system that pays out billions because of oil credits. You may think you were not told the truth and that throughput declines would stop under SB 21. Additionally, readers should know that developments such as Point Thomson, ConocoPhillips’ CD5, Greater Mooses Tooth and others, including National Petroleum Reserve developments across the Colville River, started before SB 21.

The only SB 21 trickle-down to the citizens of Alaska is the lose-lose discussion between current death by loss of the PFD, or certain, but slow manifesting death by loss of education. The solution, at a minimum, is to eliminate SB 21 oil credits.

For those who may think the oil bonanza in the Lower 48 such as the Permian Basin in Texas might not be relevant to Alaska, please think about ExxonMobil. ExxonMobil generates more than a 10 percent average return in the Permian Basin “even at just $35 a barrel” (See Matt Egan Business update March 8). Texas royalties are higher than Alaska royalties and Texas production taxes are higher than Alaska production taxes. The cost of getting Alaska’s crude to the west coast is less than the greater price obtained for Alaska North Slope west coast pricing.

[Opinion: The consequences of protecting and defending the PFD]

As of March 7, Alaska’s price for its crude is $67.24 per barrel compared to Texas pricing at $56.66 per barrel. ExxonMobil expects by 2024 an 80 percent increase in its Texas Permian oil production. ExxonMobil must not be that interested in its Alaska oil interests competing with its Texas oil interests even though Alaska has higher oil prices. ExxonMobil and other oil companies do not develop Alaska’s oil resources in the best interest of Alaska.

Norway’s $1 trillion sovereign fund is divesting stock ownership of exploration and production in oil and gas companies to “reduce the vulnerability of our common wealth to a permanent oil price decline” according to Norwegian Finance Minister Siv Jensen.

The time is now to eliminate the billions of dollars of oil credit given away with little to nothing received by Alaska. Alternatively, if you want a simple, straightforward tax system, institute a flat 20 percent production tax with no other calculations needed. This also positions Alaska in the average/competitive range for cumulative ownership and production tax payments by the oil industry for extraction of Alaska’s owned, taxed and depleting oil resource.


• Joe Paskvan is a former state senator from Fairbanks. My Turns and Letters to the Editor represent the view of the author, not the view of the Juneau Empire.


More in Opinion

(Peter Segall / Juneau Empire File)
Opinion: Dunleavy’s first act as governor was unconstitutional

That’s according to a ruling by Senior U.S. District Judge John Sedwick.

Web
Have something to say?

Here’s how to add your voice to the conversation.

This photo shows a ballot for the City and Borough of Juneau’s 2021 municipal election. (Ben Hohenstatt / Juneau Empire)
Opinion: Does Vote-by-mail come with voter’s remorse, buyer’s remorse —or both

By Win Gruening A curious thing happened leading up to the recent… Continue reading

This Aug. 3, 2021, photo shows Juneau International Airport.  The Federal Aviation Administration shared recommendations on Thursday for improving aviation safety in the state. (Michael S. Lockett / Juneau Empire File)
Opinion: How the FAA will improve the margin of aviation safety in Alaska

Alaska depends on aviation more than any other state…

Former Gov. Frank Murkowski speaks on a range of subjects during an interview with the Juneau Empire in May 2019. (Michael Penn / Juneau Empire File)
Opinion: The best use of $25M Southeast Alaska Sustainable Strategy Fund

The entire $25 million should be provided to Alaska Marine Highway System.

Alexander B. Dolitsky
Opinion: Acculturation, assimilation and behavior

By Alexander B. Dolitsky I was a presenter at the Juneau–Gastineau Rotary… Continue reading

A voter places a ballot in the drop box at the Mendenhall Public Library vote center on Tuesday, Oct. 5. Ben Hohenstatt / Juneau Empire)
Opinion: Remember the good old voting days?

I remember the good old days of two years ago and before.

Lawmakers  havereturned  to the Alaska State Capitol for a fourth special session. (Peter Segall / Juneau Empire File)
Opinion: Revenues should be determined before more PFD spending

The governor believes the dividend drives the entire calculation. Sadly, he has it backwards

Most Read